Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:36:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xabbf…124a
crypto · 176 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$52 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$46 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$46
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses92 / 84
Open positions0
Markets (closed)176 / 176
History coverage111d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$5
14 days−$6
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +116%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +166%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 09 $6 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$2 +159%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$44
tech 0% +$2
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 -11.1% -19.5% 52% 42% -12.2%
≤30d 149 -0.4% -9.9% 50% 44% -4.9%
≤90d 155 +0.2% -9.4% 51% 43% -4.9%
all 176 +4.5% -5.5% 52% 45% +0.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.5% 45% +0.9%
10% -14.5% 39% -8.8%
15% -22.8% 35% -17.6%
20% -30.4% 31% -25.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 313 history records