Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:15:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xabc2…7048
crypto · 187 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$12,048 +78%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,732 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$11,732
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses88 / 311
Open positions0
Markets (closed)399 / 187
History coverage1d
Avg bet$83
Trades / day2761.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 399 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11,732
7 days−$11,732
14 days−$11,732
30 days−$11,732
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $311 $0 −$311 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $311 −$311 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $206 −$206 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8PM ET Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $112 −$112 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$742
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-62.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 399 -58.2% -62.2% 22% 21% -50.2%
≤30d 399 -58.2% -62.2% 22% 21% -50.2%
≤90d 399 -58.2% -62.2% 22% 21% -50.2%
all 399 -58.2% -62.2% 22% 21% -50.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2761.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -62.2% 21% -50.2%
10% ← realistic here -65.8% 20% -55.0%
15% -69.1% 18% -59.3%
20% -72.2% 16% -63.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records