Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:06:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xabcf…5b58
crypto · 55 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$216 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$225 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$241
Realized−$225
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses37 / 15
Open positions3
Markets (closed)52 / 55
History coverage2d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day37.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 3 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$225
7 days−$225
14 days−$225
30 days−$225
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? No 57¢ 54¢ $100 $94 −$6 (-6%)
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? No 67¢ 64¢ $50 $48 −$2 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$6 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +50%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $304 −$300 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$5 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$6 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$7 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$8 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$4 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $102 +$111 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$41 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$30 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$88 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$49 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$38 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $104 +$100 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $102 +$33 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $202 +$37 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$66
other 17% −$191
tech 11% +$29
world 4% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $102 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $20 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 6h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? BUY No 57¢ $100 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $20 8h
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? BUY No 67¢ $51 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $20 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 47¢ $102 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $20 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $14 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $14 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 +1.4% -8.3% 71% 69% -17.7%
≤30d 52 +1.4% -8.3% 71% 69% -17.7%
≤90d 52 +1.4% -8.3% 71% 69% -17.7%
all 52 +1.4% -8.3% 71% 69% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 69% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 62% -25.6%
15% -25.1% 35% -32.8%
20% -32.4% 15% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $240.58 · official $240.58 (match) · 104 history records