trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 35 | +23.3% | +11.5% | 54% | 51% | +28.9% |
| ≤30d | 35 | +23.3% | +11.5% | 54% | 51% | +28.9% |
| ≤90d | 35 | +23.3% | +11.5% | 54% | 51% | +28.9% |
| all | 35 | +23.3% | +11.5% | 54% | 51% | +28.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +11.5% | 51% | +28.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +0.9% | 46% | +16.6% |
| 15% | -8.9% | 40% | +5.3% |
| 20% | -17.8% | 37% | -5.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $50 | $39 | −$11 (-23%) |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 34¢ | $13 | $13 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 29¢ | 30¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+5%) |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-15%) |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 47¢ | 48¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 63¢ | 60¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $20 | +$54 | +265% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $201 | +$36 | +18% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $41 | −$4 | -10% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $41 | −$15 | -37% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $10 | +$14 | +139% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$12 | +57% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$7 | +138% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $197 | +$22 | +11% |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$1 | -19% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $81 | +$19 | +23% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $6 | +$4 | +67% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$7 | -35% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $47 | +$53 | +114% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$4 | -19% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $41 | +$21 | +51% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $102 | −$36 | -35% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$3 | +26% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $31 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $102 | +$88 | +86% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $113 | +$302 | +267% |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Jun 15 | $41 | +$17 | +42% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$3 | -26% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 15 | $20 | +$14 | +69% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$3 | +60% |
| Donyell Malen: 1+ goals | Jun 14 | $5 | −$3 | -65% |
| Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $67 | +$47 | +70% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $10 | +$45 | +442% |