Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:37:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AB 0xabde…8ea5 crypto 160 markets active 2h ago coverage 5d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1 (+0%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate83%133W / 27L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day43.0pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$11now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$6
other 1% −$2
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 160 -1.3% -10.7% 83% 5% -10.3%
≤30d 160 -1.3% -10.7% 83% 5% -10.3%
≤90d 160 -1.3% -10.7% 83% 5% -10.3%
all 160 -1.3% -10.7% 83% 5% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover43.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 5% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 1% -18.9%
15% -27.0% 1% -26.7%
20% -34.2% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$11
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses133 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)160 / 160
History coverage5d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day43.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 160 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 18 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 18 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 18 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 18 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 18 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $13 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET Jun 17 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $14 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $17 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $18 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $13 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $17 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.62 · official $10.62 (match) · 340 history records