Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:52:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xabe3…eac0
crypto · 57 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$10 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses40 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)57 / 57
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day58.4
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-1.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +9.1% -1.3% 70% 67% -2.6%
≤30d 57 +9.1% -1.3% 70% 67% -2.6%
≤90d 57 +9.1% -1.3% 70% 67% -2.6%
all 57 +9.1% -1.3% 70% 67% -2.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.3% 67% -2.6%
10% ← realistic here -10.7% 60% -11.9%
15% -19.4% 40% -20.4%
20% -27.3% 25% -28.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 137 history records