Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:50:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xabe6…6dd9
crypto · 581 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$464 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$516 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized−$516
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses270 / 301
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions10
Markets (closed)571 / 581
History coverage81d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day14.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 10 History 571 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days−$195
14 days−$201
30 days−$249
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 77¢ 76¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 49¢ 50¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 Under 68¢ 68¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score No 46¢ 46¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 17¢ 14¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-15%)
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 80¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 +$1 +119%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $10 +$8 +83%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $12 +$6 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +85%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $14 +$7 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $17 −$34 -197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +89%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $12 +$12 +101%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $9 +$7 +70%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$9 +44%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 15? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 8? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 15? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 11? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 13? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 10? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 14? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 9? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 9? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 10? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 9? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 12? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 11? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 14? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 13? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 13? Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $8 +$8 +94%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 +$3 +14%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $15 +$12 +76%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1 +$1 +70%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 04 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 27 $3 +$3 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$419
weather 5% −$86
sports 2% +$44
other 1% −$27
politics 0% −$22
tech 0% −$16
world 0% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $4 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) BUY Japan 77¢ $10 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $6 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 BUY Under 68¢ $5 4h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 49¢ $9 4h
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 4h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 4h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 17¢ $3 4h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 71¢ $1 8h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 45¢ $1 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 16h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $10 2d
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 68¢ $12 2d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $8 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 62¢ $16 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 59¢ $14 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 86¢ $9 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 58¢ $1 5d
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 66¢ $14 10d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 80¢ $6 10d
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 84¢ $8 10d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 49¢ $12 10d
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $9 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-21.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -39.9% -45.7% 36% 36% -50.0%
≤30d 118 -26.6% -33.6% 40% 40% -42.2%
≤90d 571 -13.4% -21.6% 47% 47% -17.7%
all 571 -13.4% -21.6% 47% 47% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.6% 47% -17.7%
10% -29.1% 47% -25.6%
15% -36.0% 47% -32.8%
20% -42.2% 46% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.10 · official $40.10 (match) · 3228 history records