Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:48:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xabe9…affd
crypto · 304 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$18,841 -364%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18,841 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18,841
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses170 / 335
Open positions0
Markets (closed)505 / 304
History coverage13d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day268.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 505 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18,555
7 days−$18,630
14 days−$18,841
30 days−$18,841
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $468 $0 −$468 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $164 $0 −$164 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $260 $0 −$260 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $390 $0 −$390 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $310 $0 −$310 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $468 −$468 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $164 −$164 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $260 −$260 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $390 −$390 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$10 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $310 −$310 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$20 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $180 −$180 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $520 −$520 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $290 −$290 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $112 −$112 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$14 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $160 −$160 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $160 −$160 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $440 −$440 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $210 −$210 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $340 −$340 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $240 −$240 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $310 −$310 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$320
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $6 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-49.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 307 -63.2% -66.7% 21% 19% -92.0%
≤30d 505 -43.8% -49.2% 34% 30% -81.2%
≤90d 505 -43.8% -49.2% 34% 30% -81.2%
all 505 -43.8% -49.2% 34% 30% -81.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover268.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -49.2% 30% -81.2%
10% ← realistic here -54.0% 22% -83.0%
15% -58.5% 15% -84.7%
20% -62.5% 9% -86.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records