Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:11:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xabef…1090
crypto · 402 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses208 / 194
Open positions0
Markets (closed)402 / 402
History coverage41d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 402 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$13
14 days+$6
30 days+$94
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $8 $15 +$7 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$18 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$7 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$26 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$10 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$13 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$18 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$13 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $12 +$10 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$7 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$7 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $20 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $31 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $19 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $9 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $27 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $15 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -4.4% -13.5% 52% 52% -8.3%
≤30d 313 -4.2% -13.4% 52% 52% -5.9%
≤90d 402 -4.7% -13.8% 52% 52% -6.3%
all 402 -4.7% -13.8% 52% 52% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 52% -6.3%
10% -22.0% 52% -15.3%
15% -29.6% 52% -23.5%
20% -36.5% 52% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.75 · official $14.75 (match) · 638 history records