trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | -43.9% | -49.2% | 36% | 23% | -29.2% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -43.9% | -49.2% | 36% | 23% | -29.2% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -43.9% | -49.2% | 36% | 23% | -29.2% |
| all | 112 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 70% | 60% | -15.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.5% | 60% | -15.4% |
| 10% | -20.0% | 47% | -23.5% |
| 15% | -27.7% | 26% | -30.9% |
| 20% | -34.8% | 8% | -37.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $206 | $205 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $104 | $102 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $103 | $101 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $101 | $98 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $100 | $97 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $311 | +$49 | +16% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $100 | +$12 | +12% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $327 | +$672 | +206% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$22 | -22% |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Jun 17 | $2,040 | +$50 | +2% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $104 | +$55 | +53% |
| Canadiens vs. Capitals | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. 76ers | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Kings | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Kings | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Warriors | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Georgia Southern Eagles | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Raptors | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Bruins | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Pistons | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Pacers | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Celtics | Jun 15 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $2,209 | −$2,205 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $2,003 | +$102 | +5% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $156 | +$8 | +5% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $100 | +$57 | +57% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | Mar 16 | $100 | +$180 | +180% |
| Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? | Mar 16 | $800 | +$580 | +72% |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | Mar 16 | $100 | −$25 | -25% |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | Mar 16 | $50 | −$18 | -35% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Mar 10 | $50 | −$24 | -47% |
| Will Tarique Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the | Feb 18 | $400 | +$106 | +26% |
| UIC Flames vs. Bradley Braves | Feb 02 | $10 | +$4 | +35% |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican preside | Feb 02 | $300 | +$110 | +37% |
| Kansas Jayhawks vs. Kansas State Wildcats | Jan 25 | $10 | +$3 | +27% |
| Red Wings vs. Jets | Jan 25 | $10 | +$3 | +32% |
| Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assem | Jan 23 | $20 | +$9 | +42% |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Jan 23 | $80 | +$84 | +105% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Jan 23 | $100 | +$38 | +38% |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Jan 20 | $109 | −$109 | -100% |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18? | Jan 19 | $5 | +$3 | +52% |
| Bills vs. Broncos | Jan 18 | $29 | +$22 | +76% |
| Will FC Alverca win on 2026-01-17? | Jan 17 | $38 | +$3 | +8% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17? | Jan 17 | $5 | +$2 | +37% |
| Lightning vs. Blues | Jan 17 | $5 | +$2 | +33% |
| Knicks vs. Warriors | Jan 16 | $5 | +$2 | +43% |
| Bucks vs. Spurs | Jan 16 | $5 | +$2 | +45% |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | Jan 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Wizards vs. Clippers | Jan 15 | $5 | +$1 | +20% |
| Bulls vs. Rockets | Jan 14 | $5 | +$1 | +20% |
| Suns vs. Heat | Jan 14 | $5 | +$1 | +25% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Warriors | Jan 14 | $5 | +$1 | +25% |
| Flames vs. Blue Jackets | Jan 14 | $5 | +$2 | +32% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jan 14 | $5 | +$2 | +35% |