Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:55:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xac3e…8150
finance · 141 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
+$5,901 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,916 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP finance specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$5,916
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses77 / 63
Whale WR (big bets)77%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)140 / 141
History coverage126d
Avg bet$1,425
Trades / day25.8
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 1 History 140 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$225
7 days+$319
14 days+$2,935
30 days+$3,556
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? No 55¢ 28¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? Jun 12 $7,370 +$413 +6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? Jun 12 $3,985 +$69 +2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? Jun 11 $5,643 +$64 +1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? Jun 11 $6,501 −$74 -1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? Jun 11 $3,021 +$71 +2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? Jun 11 $902 −$187 -21%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? Jun 11 $1,815 −$91 -5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 10 $2,533 −$33 -1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? Jun 10 $4,650 −$7 -0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? Jun 09 $1,348 −$24 -2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? Jun 08 $3,017 +$108 +4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June? Jun 05 $223 +$10 +4%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Jun 04 $4,851 +$76 +2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Jun 04 $5,010 +$86 +2%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $12,170 +$174 +1%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Jun 03 $6,227 +$475 +8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? May 30 $6,727 +$681 +10%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? May 29 $14,057 +$1,124 +8%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? May 29 $650 +$34 +5%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? May 28 $72 $0 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? May 28 $1,426 +$58 +4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? May 24 $851 $0 -0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? May 24 $4,073 +$117 +3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? May 24 $281 +$26 +9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? May 24 $3,060 −$73 -2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? May 20 $9,237 +$460 +5%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 17 $4,001 $0 +0%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in April? May 12 $401 −$21 -5%
Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.75 in April? May 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–2.00 in April? May 12 $24 −$12 -49%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in April? May 12 $467 −$362 -78%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in April? May 06 $72 +$7 +10%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? May 06 $228 −$24 -11%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? May 05 $327 −$6 -2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May? May 05 $27 +$1 +4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? May 05 $4,844 +$20 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? May 04 $475 −$22 -4%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? May 01 $970 −$5 -0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? May 01 $182 +$2 +1%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? May 01 $764 +$63 +8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? Apr 30 $21,549 +$366 +2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? Apr 30 $860 +$138 +16%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? Apr 29 $536 +$10 +2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? Apr 28 $69 +$16 +23%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? Apr 28 $2,165 −$126 -6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? Apr 24 $611 +$46 +8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? Apr 24 $1,923 +$132 +7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? Apr 23 $6,029 +$94 +2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April? Apr 22 $3 $0 +7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? Apr 22 $6,916 +$139 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 90% +$6,455
crypto 6% +$179
politics 2% −$25
other 1% −$597
world 0% −$36
sports 0% −$61
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? SELL No 95¢ $47 3h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? BUY Yes 91¢ $182 12h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? SELL Yes 93¢ $186 13h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? BUY Yes 93¢ $465 14h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? SELL Yes 94¢ $247 14h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? SELL Yes 93¢ $875 14h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? SELL Yes 93¢ $55 14h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? SELL Yes 3¢ $6 14h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? BUY Yes 92¢ $1,768 14h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? BUY Yes 87¢ $245 15h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? BUY Yes 87¢ $67 15h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? BUY Yes 87¢ $123 15h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? BUY Yes 4¢ $8 15h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? SELL Yes 24¢ $204 19h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? SELL Yes 24¢ $38 19h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? SELL Yes 75¢ $497 19h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? SELL Yes 75¢ $116 19h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? SELL No 94¢ $49 19h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? SELL Yes 43¢ $11 19h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? SELL Yes 75¢ $137 19h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 38¢ $10 23h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? SELL Yes 72¢ $7 24h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? SELL No 84¢ $335 24h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? BUY No 84¢ $335 24h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? SELL Yes 43¢ $4 25h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? SELL Yes 43¢ $22 25h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? SELL Yes 43¢ $26 25h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? SELL Yes 43¢ $12 25h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? SELL Yes 43¢ $12 25h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? SELL Yes 43¢ $15 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -0.9% -10.4% 50% 0% -8.8%
≤30d 27 +1.6% -8.1% 63% 0% -6.7%
≤90d 101 -9.7% -18.3% 58% 14% -6.7%
all 140 -9.8% -18.4% 55% 12% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.4% 12% -6.8%
10% -26.2% 7% -15.7%
15% ← realistic here -33.3% 4% -23.9%
20% -39.9% 3% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.05 · official $1.05 (match) · 3433 history records