trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15? | No | 62¢ | 0¢ | $2,041,245 | $0 | −$2,041,245 (-100%) |
| Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-09? | Yes | 44¢ | 0¢ | $83,668 | $0 | −$83,668 (-100%) |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18? | Yes | 78¢ | 0¢ | $795,463 | $0 | −$795,463 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18? | Feb 19 | $597,280 | +$221,569 | +37% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18? | Feb 18 | $795,467 | −$795,463 | -100% |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | Feb 18 | $4,007,114 | +$4,540,624 | +113% |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15? | Feb 15 | $2,041,917 | −$2,041,245 | -100% |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-14? | Feb 15 | $43,521 | +$62,328 | +143% |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14? | Feb 15 | $331,864 | +$310,150 | +94% |
| Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-09? | Feb 09 | $83,674 | −$83,668 | -100% |
| Will AZ win on 2026-02-08? | Feb 08 | $159,969 | +$95,542 | +60% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 8 | +18.4% | +7.1% | 62% | 62% | +16.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +7.1% | 62% | +16.4% |
| 10% | -3.2% | 62% | +5.3% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -12.5% | 62% | -4.9% |
| 20% | -21.1% | 50% | -14.2% |