Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:59:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xac4e…3503
sports · 79 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$107 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$107 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$107
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses38 / 39
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions2
Markets (closed)77 / 79
History coverage42d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$7
14 days−$4
30 days−$66
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) Raducanu 60¢ 59¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $7 +$5 +65%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $5 +$4 +76%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $2 +$2 +105%
Lyon: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 10 $5 +$5 +105%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $5 +$3 +57%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $7 +$4 +48%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $4 +$2 +38%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Jun 05 $5 +$2 +38%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $5 +$3 +62%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $5 +$5 +103%
Birmingham: Elias Ymer vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Kalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 03 $3 +$3 +90%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 02 $12 +$6 +48%
Foggia: Lisa Zaar vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 02 $5 +$1 +22%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea Jun 02 $11 +$5 +48%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 01 $10 −$7 -78%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 01 $5 +$1 +15%
Vicenza: Stefano Travaglia vs Jacopo Vasami May 30 $14 −$14 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweigh May 30 $6 −$6 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osaka May 30 $10 +$5 +45%
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luca Nardi May 29 $15 −$15 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas May 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini May 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame May 28 $2 +$3 +181%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic May 27 $3 +$2 +56%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tiran May 27 $20 +$13 +62%
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi May 26 $10 +$8 +76%
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres Burruchaga May 26 $4 +$1 +26%
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmane May 25 $19 +$2 +12%
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert May 25 $5 +$3 +52%
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy May 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Yannick Hanfmann May 24 $10 +$4 +40%
Tomas Machac vs. Zizou Bergs: Total Sets O/U 3.5 May 24 $3 $0 -8%
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul May 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien May 23 $13 −$13 -100%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarro May 23 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs May 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Hamburg European Open (Doubles): Doumbia/Reboul vs Schnaitter/Wallner May 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov May 22 $15 +$11 +78%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandez May 21 $23 +$14 +60%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Jil Teichmann May 20 $15 −$15 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Tamara Zidanse May 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia May 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$110
other 2% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 50¢ $2 1h
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) BUY Raducanu 60¢ $2 1h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri 59¢ $5 22h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 42¢ $2 23h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $3 23h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 60¢ $7 25h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 56¢ $5 39h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 48¢ $2 47h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas BUY Miguel Damas 52¢ $8 2d
Lyon: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 48¢ $5 2d
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 63¢ $5 3d
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau BUY Jan-Lennard Struff 67¢ $7 3d
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant BUY Tyra Caterina Grant 65¢ $5 5d
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? SELL Yes 84¢ $6 5d
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? BUY Yes 60¢ $4 6d
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew BUY Alexandra Eala 72¢ $5 7d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Liquid 62¢ $7 7d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY TYLOO 61¢ $5 7d
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva SELL Mirra Andreeva 93¢ $9 8d
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Mirra Andreeva 45¢ $5 8d
Birmingham: Elias Ymer vs Christopher O'Connell BUY Christopher OConnell 54¢ $2 9d
Kalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 52¢ $3 9d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca BUY Joao Fonseca 67¢ $5 10d
Foggia: Lisa Zaar vs Tyra Caterina Grant SELL Tyra Caterina Grant 72¢ $6 10d
Foggia: Lisa Zaar vs Tyra Caterina Grant BUY Tyra Caterina Grant 58¢ $5 10d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY GamerLegion 67¢ $12 10d
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea BUY Mirra Andreeva 67¢ $11 11d
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? SELL Yes 42¢ $6 11d
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya BUY Anastasia Potapova 67¢ $7 11d
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya SELL Anastasia Potapova 35¢ $2 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-29.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +15.9% +4.9% 67% 67% +1.1%
≤30d 65 -13.2% -21.5% 54% 54% -20.6%
≤90d 77 -22.0% -29.4% 49% 49% -25.9%
all 77 -22.0% -29.4% 49% 49% -25.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.4% 49% -25.9%
10% -36.1% 43% -33.0%
15% -42.3% 35% -39.4%
20% -48.0% 23% -45.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.48 · official $3.47 (match) · 173 history records