Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T22:06:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AC 0xac4f…d862 other 773 markets active 1h ago coverage 16d ⚠
BOTnot copyable Fading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 16d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (177 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$9,398 (+82%) realized +$9,398 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate43%460W / 603L
Drawdown89%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day176.8pace
Kalshi-fit0%portable
Net worth$64now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 16d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% +$1,791
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (177 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 620 -42.3% -47.8% 22% 20% -25.7%
≤30d 1063 -4.7% -13.8% 43% 41% -7.9%
≤90d 1063 -4.7% -13.8% 43% 41% -7.9%
all 1063 -4.7% -13.8% 43% 41% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover176.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 41% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 37% -16.7%
15% -29.6% 31% -24.8%
20% -36.5% 23% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +50% → late -59% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$5 · ×1.4 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.07 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$64
Realized+$9,398
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses460 / 603
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1063 / 773
History coverage16d ⚠
Avg bet$15
Trades / day176.8
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1063 Trades
no open positions (497 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 26 $27 +$8 +29%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$1 +96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +37%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +64%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 +92%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +59%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +56%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 +150%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +27%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 +100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 +117%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 +82%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 +27%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 +92%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 +67%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 +82%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 +82%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 26 $7 −$7 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 26 $62 −$62 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $14 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $9 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $0 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.45 · official $49.13 · 3500 history records