Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:28:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xac52…b882
sports · 83 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$103 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$76 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized+$76
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses48 / 32
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions3
Markets (closed)80 / 83
History coverage37d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 3 History 80 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$63
14 days−$22
30 days+$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Sandnes Ulf vs. Stroemmen IF: O/U 0.5 Over 98¢ 100¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+2%)
Lyn 1896 FK vs. Bryne FK: O/U 0.5 Over 84¢ 100¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+19%)
Stabaek IF vs. Egersunds IK: O/U 0.5 Over 88¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+14%)
Stabaek IF vs. Egersunds IK: O/U 3.5 Under 92¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stabaek IF vs. Egersunds IK: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $10 +$5 +54%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +30%
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +17%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $10 +$2 +20%
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $11 $0 -0%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $11 $0 -1%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $10 +$1 +14%
Wydad Athletic Club vs. OC Safi: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $101 +$32 +32%
FathUnionSport vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $101 −$101 -100%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5 Jun 07 $101 +$20 +20%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $151 +$20 +13%
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 06 $101 +$32 +31%
FBC Melgar leading at halftime? Jun 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Kataller Toyama vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki: O/U 1.5 May 30 $10 −$10 -100%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5 May 27 $202 +$67 +33%
Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5 May 24 $25 +$2 +6%
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 0.5 May 23 $10 +$1 +11%
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5 May 23 $25 +$3 +14%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $25 +$14 +54%
FC Südtirol vs. SSC Bari: O/U 0.5 May 22 $10 −$10 -100%
FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Argeș Pitești: O/U 1.5 May 22 $5 −$5 -100%
NK Osijek vs. NK Slaven Belupo: O/U 2.5 May 22 $10 +$10 +100%
CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 May 22 $5 +$1 +27%
CD Universidad Católica leading at halftime? May 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: Draw at halftime? May 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs. SC Delhi: O/U 1.5 May 21 $25 +$13 +50%
Punjab FC vs. Mumbai City FC: O/U 1.5 May 21 $35 −$35 -100%
Al Shabab Saudi Club leading at halftime? May 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 2.5 May 20 $10 +$4 +35%
El Masry SC vs. El Ahly SC: O/U 1.5 May 20 $10 +$4 +43%
Pyramids FC vs. Smouha SC: O/U 3.5 May 20 $10 +$3 +25%
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CD Tolima: O/U 2.5 May 20 $10 −$10 -100%
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 May 19 $101 +$9 +9%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18? May 18 $100 +$11 +11%
FCV Farul Constanţa vs. FC Metaloglobus București: O/U 1.5 May 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ghazl El Mahalla SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary: O/U 1.5 May 18 $5 −$5 -94%
Ghazl El Mahalla SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary: O/U 2.5 May 18 $10 −$4 -42%
Kerala Blasters FC vs. FC Goa: O/U 2.5 May 18 $102 −$11 -11%
CD Concepción vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 2.5 May 18 $10 +$3 +28%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Criciúma EC vs. AC Goianiense: O/U 1.5 May 17 $5 $0 +3%
Ceará SC vs. Fortaleza EC: O/U 1.5 May 17 $5 $0 +0%
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5 May 17 $15 $0 +2%
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5 May 17 $5 $0 +5%
Vila Nova FC vs. Avaí FC: O/U 1.5 May 17 $5 $0 +10%
CD Los Chankas vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 1.5 May 17 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$5
other 16% +$81
world 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Sandnes Ulf vs. Stroemmen IF: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 98¢ $25 1h
Stabaek IF vs. Egersunds IK: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 92¢ $10 1h
Stabaek IF vs. Egersunds IK: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 88¢ $10 1h
Lyn 1896 FK vs. Bryne FK: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 84¢ $10 1h
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 65¢ $10 15h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 77¢ $10 20h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 78¢ $10 23h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 83¢ $10 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 85¢ $10 2d
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 65¢ $10 4d
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 24¢ $3 4d
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 74¢ $9 4d
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 12¢ $1 5d
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 88¢ $10 5d
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 65¢ $10 5d
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 87¢ $10 5d
Wydad Athletic Club vs. OC Safi: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 75¢ $101 5d
FathUnionSport vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 88¢ $101 5d
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 83¢ $101 6d
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 88¢ $151 7d
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 75¢ $101 8d
FBC Melgar leading at halftime? BUY Yes 44¢ $10 13d
Kataller Toyama vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 47¢ $10 15d
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $269 17d
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 74¢ $202 17d
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $11 21d
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 100¢ $29 21d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? SELL Yes 100¢ $39 21d
Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 94¢ $25 21d
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 87¢ $25 21d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-23.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -13.4% -21.6% 57% 57% -23.2%
≤30d 58 -15.5% -23.5% 62% 47% -5.9%
≤90d 80 -15.2% -23.2% 60% 44% -6.0%
all 80 -15.2% -23.2% 60% 44% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.2% 44% -6.0%
10% -30.6% 30% -15.0%
15% -37.3% 16% -23.2%
20% -43.4% 12% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.65 · official $48.65 (match) · 196 history records