Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:38:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xac67…e084
crypto · 236 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$111 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$142 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$142
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses111 / 125
Open positions0
Markets (closed)236 / 236
History coverage51d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 236 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57
7 days−$105
14 days−$105
30 days−$105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 26? No 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$9 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$17 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$33 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$105
weather 9% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-21.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 218 -11.2% -19.7% 48% 48% -18.1%
≤30d 218 -11.2% -19.7% 48% 48% -18.1%
≤90d 236 -13.4% -21.7% 47% 47% -20.1%
all 236 -13.4% -21.7% 47% 47% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.7% 47% -20.1%
10% -29.2% 44% -27.7%
15% -36.0% 37% -34.7%
20% -42.3% 28% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 355 history records