Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:14:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xac6d…81e7
crypto · 463 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$158 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$34
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses213 / 248
Open positions2
Markets (closed)461 / 463
History coverage25d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day121.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 461 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$1 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +49%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -19%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$6 -55%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -87%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$6 -54%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +27%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +24%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +47%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$5 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$38
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $2 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 21m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 21m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $9 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $3 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 -0.0% -9.5% 65% 56% -13.1%
≤30d 461 +0.4% -9.1% 46% 39% -10.2%
≤90d 461 +0.4% -9.1% 46% 39% -10.2%
all 461 +0.4% -9.1% 46% 39% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover121.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 39% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 32% -18.8%
15% -25.8% 25% -26.6%
20% -33.0% 19% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.02 · official $0.02 (match) · 3500 history records