trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +2.4% | -7.4% | 100% | 0% | -7.4% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +1.5% | -8.1% | 44% | 11% | -8.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +1.5% | -8.1% | 44% | 11% | -8.0% |
| all | 20 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 60% | 5% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.0% | 5% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -17.7% | 0% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -25.7% | 0% | -25.3% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 80¢ | $42 | $42 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $38 | +$1 | +2% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $46 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $37 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $27 | +$5 | +19% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $59 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 10 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 09 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Jun 08 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July? | Jun 27 | $9 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Apr 18 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 16 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 13 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon 1,000-1,249 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days? | Apr 11 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 09 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%? | Apr 07 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 25 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 53-54°F on March 5? | Mar 04 | $13 | −$2 | -16% |