Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xac7d…f1b2
crypto · 177 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$96 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$100 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized−$100
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses93 / 80
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions4
Markets (closed)173 / 177
History coverage102d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 4 History 173 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$78
7 days+$91
14 days+$86
30 days−$103
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Endrick: 1+ goals Yes 18¢ 53¢ $10 $30 +$20 (+196%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Yes 16¢ 12¢ $12 $9 −$3 (-22%)
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals Yes 16¢ 10¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-38%)
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-93%)
Manuel Akanji: 1+ goals Yes 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner Weibo Gaming 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 2? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 3? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 6? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 5? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 6? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 4? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $51 +$52 +103%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Manuel Akanji: 1+ goals Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $41 −$40 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$53 +105%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $22 +$10 +46%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 +$5 +246%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +56%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $46 −$11 -24%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$16 +158%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $2 +$18 +874%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $20 +$18 +90%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $2 +$10 +468%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $24 +$10 +41%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between Jun 01 $7 −$5 -74%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? May 28 $10 −$3 -25%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC? May 27 $9 −$9 -97%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? May 27 $82 −$80 -97%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 May 27 $102 −$100 -98%
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k? May 22 $3 +$9 +293%
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k? May 16 $2 −$2 -97%
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k? May 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k? May 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11? May 11 $2 +$5 +245%
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10? May 11 $5 +$8 +156%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 11? May 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C or below on May 11? May 10 $6 −$6 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11? May 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 11? May 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 11? May 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 11? May 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 7? May 07 $5 +$6 +112%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 7? May 07 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 7? May 07 $3 +$8 +260%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7? May 07 $4 +$11 +277%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on May 6? May 07 $1 +$2 +194%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 6? May 06 $5 +$6 +122%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 6? May 06 $4 −$4 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7? May 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 7? May 06 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 6? May 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 50% −$23
other 23% −$8
sports 15% −$84
weather 10% +$29
world 1% −$9
culture 1% +$3
politics 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals BUY Yes 16¢ $10 24m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 16¢ $12 30m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $103 32m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $51 1h
Endrick: 1+ goals BUY Yes 18¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? SELL Yes 12¢ $5 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 22¢ $10 3h
Manuel Akanji: 1+ goals BUY Yes 19¢ $10 3h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 33¢ $41 4h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 68¢ $21 21h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 68¢ $1 21h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 24¢ $7 21h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 23¢ $3 21h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? SELL Yes 10¢ $2 21h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $31 27h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 27h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 43¢ $33 27h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 29h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 29h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 35h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $51 35h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 35h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 35h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 47h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 47h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 52¢ $20 47h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $10 47h
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? BUY Yes 49¢ $10 47h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +46.5% +32.6% 43% 43% +16.5%
≤30d 32 +20.8% +9.3% 34% 34% -27.0%
≤90d 74 +34.0% +21.2% 38% 38% -19.2%
all 173 +7.0% -3.2% 54% 38% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.2% 38% -15.8%
10% -12.4% 30% -23.8%
15% -20.9% 24% -31.2%
20% -28.6% 20% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.94 · official $47.19 · 319 history records