Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:25:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xac83…4b94
sports · 121 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$22 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$29 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized+$29
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses54 / 45
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions22
Markets (closed)99 / 121
History coverage11d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day16.8
Drawdown65%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 22 History 99 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days+$29
14 days+$29
30 days+$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 95¢ 98¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 83¢ 73¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Darwin Blanch 66¢ 44¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-33%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 71¢ 70¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 62¢ 64¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 76¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? Yes 66¢ 89¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 59¢ 38¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-35%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Lucrezia Stefanini 43¢ 26¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-40%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Yes 74¢ 92¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+24%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 12? Yes 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+13%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 14? Yes 89¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? No 90¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 90¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? Yes 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will Solana reach $90 in June? No 97¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 56¢ 61¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? No 97¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? No 23¢ 5¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-77%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? No 19¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-92%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 13? No 26¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Shuai Zhang 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? No 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Connecticut Sun 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $5 +$5 +108%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $2 +$3 +165%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $4 −$1 -13%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $2 −$1 -45%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $2 −$1 -63%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $2 −$1 -71%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $2 +$1 +27%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $2 +$6 +291%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $2 +$3 +158%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $2 −$1 -66%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $2 −$2 -86%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $2 +$5 +259%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -76%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +36%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +76%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -79%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -77%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $2 +$1 +46%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $2 +$1 +44%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $2 +$8 +388%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $2 +$4 +180%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $2 +$1 +50%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +32%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 16? Jun 11 $5 −$3 -67%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $2 −$1 -72%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 10 $2 +$1 +32%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 10 $1 $0 -11%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $2 +$1 +42%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $2 $0 +21%
Bratislava: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Alexander Donski Jun 10 $2 $0 +20%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $2 +$1 +36%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June? Jun 10 $1 $0 -12%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $2 +$1 +34%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $2 +$1 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% +$28
crypto 18% −$7
other 3% +$1
politics 1% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 71¢ $5 50m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 83¢ $10 53m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 66¢ $10 54m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 95¢ $10 54m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina SELL Federico Cina 36¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal SELL Arthur Gea 15¢ $1 1h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 48¢ $5 2h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 76¢ $2 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 59¢ $2 2h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 64¢ $2 2h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 39¢ $2 2h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 37¢ $2 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Elena Rybakina 45¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter SELL Jaqueline Cristian 10¢ $1 3h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 85¢ $2 4h
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Lucrezia Stefanini 43¢ $2 4h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Barbora Krejcikova 69¢ $2 5h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 62¢ $2 5h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY Las Vegas Aces 78¢ $2 12h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Dallas Wings 71¢ $2 13h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Seattle Mariners 8¢ $0 14h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 SELL Under 22¢ $1 14h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 62¢ $2 14h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 25¢ $2 14h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 60¢ $2 15h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 99¢ $7 15h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 38¢ $2 15h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 65¢ $2 15h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 SELL Over 10¢ $0 15h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 5¢ $0 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-3.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 +6.8% -3.4% 54% 44% +4.2%
≤30d 99 +6.8% -3.4% 55% 43% +4.0%
≤90d 99 +6.8% -3.4% 55% 43% +4.0%
all 99 +6.8% -3.4% 55% 43% +4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.4% 43% +4.0%
10% -12.6% 36% -5.9%
15% -21.1% 31% -15.0%
20% -28.8% 20% -23.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.35 · official $51.48 · 236 history records