trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +14.1% | +3.2% | 71% | 71% | +4.4% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 60% | 60% | -11.8% |
| ≤90d | 135 | -37.2% | -43.2% | 43% | 43% | -43.7% |
| all | 281 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 66% | 66% | -10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.2% | 66% | -10.6% |
| 10% | -18.8% | 63% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 46% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 24% | -34.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 42¢ | 40¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 72¢ | 74¢ | $35 | $36 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $35 | +$18 | +50% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $35 | +$17 | +48% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $30 | +$23 | +76% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $35 | +$20 | +57% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $35 | +$9 | +25% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $35 | −$20 | -58% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $35 | −$24 | -68% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $29 | +$27 | +93% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $30 | +$17 | +57% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $39 | +$8 | +21% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 10 | $35 | −$35 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 01 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $30 | +$18 | +60% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 25 | $35 | +$15 | +44% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 22 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | May 21 | $35 | −$35 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $35 | +$16 | +46% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $35 | +$15 | +44% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 19 | $35 | −$35 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 18 | $35 | −$35 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 18 | $35 | +$18 | +50% |
| Wild vs. Avalanche | May 14 | $30 | +$15 | +50% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 13 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights | May 13 | $30 | +$20 | +67% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $40 | +$11 | +27% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 12 | $30 | +$20 | +65% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11? | May 11 | $35 | −$35 | -99% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 11 | $40 | +$11 | +27% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 11 | $40 | +$15 | +38% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 05 | $35 | +$14 | +40% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? | May 04 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 04 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 04 | $35 | +$12 | +34% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 04 | $35 | +$12 | +34% |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning | May 03 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 03 | $35 | +$10 | +27% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 03 | $35 | +$10 | +29% |
| Ducks vs. Oilers | May 03 | $30 | +$19 | +62% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 30 | $35 | −$35 | -99% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 30 | $35 | −$35 | -99% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 29 | $35 | +$6 | +18% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 28 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 28 | $40 | +$9 | +23% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 28 | $40 | +$9 | +23% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27? | Apr 28 | $35 | +$34 | +97% |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27? | Apr 27 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 27 | $35 | +$13 | +36% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 24 | $35 | −$35 | -99% |