Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:40:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AC 0xace0…3e09 crypto 173 markets active 3h ago coverage 12d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (56 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$140 (-3%) realized −$140 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -22% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -40% what you keep after slip
Net edge-40%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate42%72W / 101L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day55.7pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$93
7 days−$71
14 days−$414
30 days−$414
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$385
sports 1% −$15
world 0% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (56 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-29.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -20.4% -28.0% 40% 29% -15.2%
≤30d 173 -22.0% -29.4% 42% 34% -19.3%
≤90d 173 -22.0% -29.4% 42% 34% -19.3%
all 173 -22.0% -29.4% 42% 34% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.4% 34% -19.3%
10% ← realistic here -36.2% 25% -27.0%
15% -42.3% 17% -34.1%
20% -48.0% 11% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -22% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -23% → late -21% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$9 · ×0.79 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.56 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$140
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses72 / 101
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)173 / 173
History coverage12d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day55.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 173 Trades
no open positions (62 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $336 −$68 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $40 −$23 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $32 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$7 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$5 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $83 −$30 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$5 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $62 +$39 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $47 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$11 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $42 −$4 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $39 +$6 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$8 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$35 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$18 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $24 +$35 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $17 −$6 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$16 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$9 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$8 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -25%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $25 −$12 -48%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $10 −$2 -22%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $17 −$9 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $47 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $47 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $36 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $35 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $47 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $48 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $37 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $16 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $21 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $16 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 712 history records