trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 40% | 30% | +14.2% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -17.3% | -25.2% | 29% | 21% | -4.4% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -17.3% | -25.2% | 29% | 21% | -4.4% |
| all | 24 | -17.3% | -25.2% | 29% | 21% | -4.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.2% | 21% | -4.4% |
| 10% | -32.3% | 21% | -13.5% |
| 15% | -38.9% | 17% | -21.9% |
| 20% | -44.9% | 17% | -29.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | No | 58¢ | 57¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | No | 43¢ | 42¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Under | 57¢ | 57¢ | $25 | $25 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Under | 55¢ | 55¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | Netherlands | 61¢ | 60¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Japan to score first vs. Brazil? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Morocco to score first vs. Netherlands? | Yes | 39¢ | 38¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 77¢ | 84¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5AM ET | Jun 29 | $0 | $0 | —% |
| Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | Jun 28 | $43 | +$49 | +114% |
| Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 28 | $59 | −$59 | -100% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 28 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 28 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? | Jun 28 | $172 | +$130 | +76% |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 28 | $92 | +$32 | +35% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | Jun 27 | $20 | $0 | -2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 27 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | Jun 23 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Jun 17 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $26 | +$38 | +149% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $61 | −$61 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | Jun 06 | $10 | −$5 | -50% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | Jun 06 | $5 | −$3 | -57% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | Jun 06 | $10 | +$7 | +65% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 05 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| BNB Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | Jun 03 | $5 | −$1 | -29% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 03 | $10 | $0 | -1% |