Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:51:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AD
0xad05…3a3d
crypto · 40 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$20 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$52 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses15 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)40 / 40
History coverage1d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day287.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$52
14 days−$52
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -15%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -27%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +45%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -26%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -56%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$10 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $145 −$52 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $52 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $93 +$31 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $73 +$57 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $83 −$83 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $93 +$9 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $0 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $2 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -3.7% -12.8% 38% 25% -16.0%
≤30d 40 -3.7% -12.8% 38% 25% -16.0%
≤90d 40 -3.7% -12.8% 38% 25% -16.0%
all 40 -3.7% -12.8% 38% 25% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover287.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 25% -16.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 22% -24.1%
15% -28.8% 18% -31.4%
20% -35.8% 8% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 296 history records