trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 ( | Jun 12 | $47 | +$3 | +7% |
| Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? | Jun 12 | $2,776 | +$512 | +18% |
| Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026? | Jun 12 | $836 | +$114 | +14% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | Jun 12 | $814 | +$112 | +14% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | Jun 08 | $29 | +$11 | +38% |
| Will Karmine Corp win LEC 2026 Spring? | Jun 07 | $5 | +$1 | +17% |
| Will G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring? | Jun 07 | $18 | +$7 | +42% |
| Will Movistar KOI win LEC 2026 Spring? | Jun 07 | $5 | +$1 | +21% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 5, 2026? | Jun 06 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +19.2% | +7.9% | 100% | 78% | +5.7% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +19.2% | +7.9% | 100% | 78% | +5.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +19.2% | +7.9% | 100% | 78% | +5.7% |
| all | 9 | +19.2% | +7.9% | 100% | 78% | +5.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +7.9% | 78% | +5.7% |
| 10% | -2.5% | 22% | -4.5% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -11.9% | 22% | -13.7% |
| 20% | -20.5% | 0% | -22.1% |