trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -31.2% | -37.8% | 38% | 38% | +8.7% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -31.2% | -37.8% | 38% | 38% | +8.7% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -31.2% | -37.8% | 38% | 38% | +8.7% |
| all | 16 | -31.2% | -37.8% | 38% | 38% | +8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -37.8% | 38% | +8.7% |
| 10% | -43.7% | 38% | -1.7% |
| 15% | -49.2% | 38% | -11.2% |
| 20% | -54.1% | 31% | -19.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 41¢ | 18¢ | $60 | $26 | −$34 (-57%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-28%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-31%) |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-75%) |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 10¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-80%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 23 | $52 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $252 | +$120 | +48% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $264 | +$189 | +71% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $152 | +$106 | +70% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$4 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Morocco? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $25 | +$27 | +105% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5 | Jun 19 | $51 | +$58 | +114% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $10 | +$9 | +93% |