Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:23:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AD
0xad42…11d4
sports · 803 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$10 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$110
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses400 / 356
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions47
Markets (closed)756 / 803
History coverage122d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 47 History 756 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$19
14 days+$22
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney Himeno Sakatsume 42¢ 78¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+85%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Rebeka Masarova vs Mia Pohankova Rebeka Masarova 59¢ 58¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Under 55¢ 55¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Ciryl Gane 51¢ 50¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zhang Magdalena Frech 54¢ 54¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) Diego Lopes 58¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Kamil Majchrzak 24¢ 100¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+315%)
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 71¢ 70¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya Elina Svitolina 66¢ 66¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Grass Court Championships: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anastasia Potapova Ekaterina Alexandrova 47¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Xinyu Wang Madison Keys 73¢ 72¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Josh Hokit 78¢ 78¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 53¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 31¢ 30¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Yes 42¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Denis Shapovalov 61¢ 60¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Andrey Rublev 53¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Chicago White Sox 48¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Hamad Medjedovic Arthur Rinderknech 52¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Over 51¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Under 45¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino 34¢ 34¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Nestory Irankunda: 1+ goals Jun 14 $1 +$3 +307%
Kenan Yıldız: 1+ goals Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Nishan Velupillay: 1+ goals Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 13 $6 +$5 +90%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 +$4 +388%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +109%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $7 +$30 +414%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Exact Score: Málaga CF 1 - 1 UD Las Palmas? Jun 11 $1 +$6 +550%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $1 +$1 +65%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $1 +$3 +226%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $2 +$2 +101%
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek Jun 09 $2 +$1 +55%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Anna Blinkova Jun 09 $2 +$1 +48%
Stuttgart Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Jun 09 $3 +$2 +57%
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 09 $8 −$3 -41%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $2 +$3 +109%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 09 $3 +$6 +172%
Exact Score: UD Almería 1 - 1 CD Castellón? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 08 $4 −$4 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Quentin Halys vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 08 $2 −$2 -99%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 08 $2 −$2 -99%
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm Jun 08 $4 −$4 -98%
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen Jun 08 $4 −$3 -98%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 08 $3 −$3 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Giron Jun 08 $3 −$3 -98%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 08 $4 −$4 -98%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $1 +$1 +57%
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bant Jun 07 $1 +$1 +86%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $2 +$2 +93%
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M Jun 07 $4 +$1 +27%
Exact Score: CD Castellón 1 - 1 UD Almería? Jun 07 $1 +$6 +550%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 07 $4 +$4 +86%
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Preli Jun 07 $14 +$4 +26%
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $2 −$2 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, P Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$4
crypto 4% −$16
other 3% +$16
world 0% +$7
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Josh Hokit 78¢ $3 58m
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Ciryl Gane 50¢ $1 59m
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car BUY Diego Lopes 56¢ $2 59m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 71¢ $4 1h
HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov BUY Denis Shapovalov 61¢ $2 1h
Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz BUY Andrey Rublev 53¢ $2 1h
Nottingham 2: Oliver Tarvet vs Roman Safiullin BUY Roman Safiullin 57¢ $1 1h
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Xinyu Wang BUY Madison Keys 73¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics BUY Marton Fucsovics 40¢ $2 1h
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya BUY Elina Svitolina 66¢ $3 1h
Grass Court Championships: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anastasia Potapova BUY Ekaterina Alexandrova 47¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Hamad Medjedovic BUY Arthur Rinderknech 52¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 24¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 28¢ $7 1h
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka BUY Kamil Majchrzak 38¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Rafael Jodar BUY Ignacio Buse 31¢ $1 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Tom Gentzsch 16¢ $1 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zha BUY Magdalena Frech 54¢ $6 1h
Nottingham 2: Jaime Faria vs Moez Echargui BUY Moez Echargui 17¢ $1 1h
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann BUY Yannick Hanfmann 31¢ $2 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Rebeka Masarova vs Mia Pohan BUY Rebeka Masarova 59¢ $8 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney BUY Himeno Sakatsume 42¢ $6 1h
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 34¢ $2 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 50¢ $1 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 45¢ $2 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 48¢ $1 1h
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) BUY Washington Nationals 55¢ $1 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 50¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 47¢ $2 1h
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 36¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 +28.2% +16.0% 51% 51% +7.2%
≤30d 99 +12.9% +2.2% 47% 46% +2.2%
≤90d 614 -15.0% -23.1% 45% 45% -27.5%
all 756 +0.5% -9.1% 53% 52% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 52% -9.3%
10% -17.8% 47% -18.0%
15% -25.8% 41% -25.9%
20% -33.0% 33% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $110.25 · official $110.25 (match) · 1504 history records