trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 29% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 29% | 0% | -10.1% |
| all | 22 | -7.2% | -16.0% | 32% | 0% | -11.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.0% | 0% | -11.3% |
| 10% | -24.1% | 0% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -31.4% | 0% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 0% | -34.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 17 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 08 | $91 | −$2 | -2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $78 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 06 | $62 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 06 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship? | Dec 12 | $7 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 01 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 27 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 05 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Apr 18 | $7 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? | Apr 15 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Apr 14 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 13 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 12 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 12 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%? | Apr 11 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30? | Apr 09 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 08 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 22 | $9 | −$3 | -34% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 21 | $6 | −$1 | -17% |