trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 11% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 23 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 24 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 04 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | May 26 | $92 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 22 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 14 | $277 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 07 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 17 | $94 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 30 | $190 | $0 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 21 | $190 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 16 | $190 | $0 | +0% |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 13 | $190 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 11 | $190 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 03 | $190 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | Feb 25 | $190 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 06 | $190 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 02 | $183 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 02 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 06 | $182 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 03 | $184 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 03 | $186 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 02 | $184 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31? | Dec 31 | $186 | $0 | -0% |