Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:20:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AD
0xad4b…0de5
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$38 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$34
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses3 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)6 / 7
History coverage10d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit14%
Chart Positions 1 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days−$34
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Yes 77¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $108 +$3 +3%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$2 +43%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $11 −$8 -78%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $96 +$13 +14%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $41 −$40 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 96% −$31
sports 4% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $111 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 97¢ $108 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 93¢ $7 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 9h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 9h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 3¢ $2 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 94¢ $109 10h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $4 14h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $11 14h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $96 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 77¢ $41 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-42.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -23.3% -30.6% 60% 40% -7.0%
≤30d 6 -36.1% -42.2% 50% 33% -21.2%
≤90d 6 -36.1% -42.2% 50% 33% -21.2%
all 6 -36.1% -42.2% 50% 33% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -42.2% 33% -21.2%
10% -47.7% 17% -28.8%
15% -52.8% 17% -35.7%
20% -57.4% 0% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 12 history records