Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:08:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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0xad64…9e67
crypto · 269 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,260 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,904 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$103
Realized−$2,904
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses149 / 599
Open positions2
Markets (closed)748 / 269
History coverage1d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day3242.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 748 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,904
7 days−$2,904
14 days−$2,904
30 days−$2,904
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $10 $21 +$10 (+99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $10 $20 +$10 (+105%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 58¢ 50¢ $23 $20 −$3 (-13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 51¢ 80¢ $7 $11 +$4 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 48¢ 20¢ $19 $8 −$11 (-57%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$3 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
BNB Up or Down - April 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - April 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +100%
BNB Up or Down - April 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$154
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-65.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 748 -62.2% -65.8% 20% 11% -33.1%
≤30d 748 -62.2% -65.8% 20% 11% -33.1%
≤90d 748 -62.2% -65.8% 20% 11% -33.1%
all 748 -62.2% -65.8% 20% 11% -33.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3242.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -65.8% 11% -33.1%
10% ← realistic here -69.1% 7% -39.5%
15% -72.1% 5% -45.3%
20% -74.8% 4% -50.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $102.86 · official $110.82 · 3500 history records