Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:48:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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0xad91…1987
crypto · 915 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,608 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,608 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,608
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses551 / 702
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1253 / 915
History coverage6d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day448.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1253 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,549
7 days−$1,608
14 days−$1,608
30 days−$1,608
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -1911%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -1437%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -1535%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -3678%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -1812%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -1897%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$5 -2168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$6 -2658%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -360%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$8 -3494%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$6 -2433%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$6 -2812%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -3521%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$5 -2687%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$8 -3644%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1324%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$7 -1633%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -1806%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -1972%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$7 -3380%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -1897%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$6 -2624%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -3232%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$10 -9727%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -1084%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$7 -5549%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1701%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -729%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -2112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$6 -1628%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$6 -3067%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$7 -2678%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$5 -2034%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$5 -5562%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -2051%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$6 -2168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -1740%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -1604%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1754%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$5 -2643%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -1196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -682%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -679%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$6 -2712%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$9 -4498%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -1133%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $7 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $7 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-31.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1253 -23.7% -31.0% 44% 38% -8.8%
≤30d 1253 -23.7% -31.0% 44% 38% -8.8%
≤90d 1253 -23.7% -31.0% 44% 38% -8.8%
all 1253 -23.7% -31.0% 44% 38% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover448.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.0% 38% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -37.6% 30% -17.6%
15% -43.6% 20% -25.5%
20% -49.2% 7% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records