trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +23.2% | +11.5% | 57% | 43% | +3.2% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -0.9% | -10.4% | 44% | 32% | -16.9% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 43% | 32% | -50.4% |
| all | 28 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 43% | 32% | -50.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.2% | 32% | -50.4% |
| 10% | -22.4% | 29% | -55.1% |
| 15% | -29.9% | 29% | -59.5% |
| 20% | -36.8% | 25% | -63.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $35 | $45 | +$10 (+29%) |
| Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $2 | −$2 (-50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $35 | +$19 | +54% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $6 | +$1 | +17% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 | Jun 24 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 | Jun 24 | $55 | +$5 | +9% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $35 | −$15 | -42% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $12 | +$19 | +152% |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $3 | −$3 | -96% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $6 | +$10 | +166% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $61 | +$28 | +46% |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$3 | -33% |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$7 | -34% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $31 | −$7 | -22% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $5 | +$10 | +203% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Croatia to score first vs. England? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| England vs. Croatia: Neither team to score first? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $57 | −$57 | -99% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$12 | +238% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$7 | -48% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $6 | +$7 | +109% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$8 | -82% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$7 | -67% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | May 25 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| World Championships: Slovenia vs. Italy | May 25 | $4 | +$3 | +79% |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 23 | $293 | −$288 | -98% |