Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:50:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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0xadb4…7ed6
crypto · 151 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$48 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$40 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$172
Realized+$40
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses139 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions10
Markets (closed)141 / 151
History coverage8d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day18.9
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 10 History 141 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$36
14 days+$40
30 days+$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No 93¢ 100¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+7%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%? No 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+? No 98¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%? No 97¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+3%)
Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? No 98¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+4%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No 96¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+5%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%? No 95¢ 99¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +10%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$38
politics 8% +$4
finance 3% +$1
sports 2% +$1
other 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $11 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 17h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $15 17h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $20 17h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 97¢ $15 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 35h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 35h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $15 38h
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $15 41h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $20 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 119 +2.3% -7.4% 99% 1% -7.6%
≤30d 141 +1.8% -7.9% 99% 1% -7.7%
≤90d 141 +1.8% -7.9% 99% 1% -7.7%
all 141 +1.8% -7.9% 99% 1% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.9% 1% -7.7%
10% -16.7% 0% -16.5%
15% -24.8% 0% -24.6%
20% -32.1% 0% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $172.11 · official $172.11 (match) · 290 history records