Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:16:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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0xadc0…942f
crypto · 1196 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$358 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$358 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$358
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses658 / 538
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1196 / 1196
History coverage37d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day60.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1196 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$76
14 days−$241
30 days−$309
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$358
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $3 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 281 -1.9% -11.2% 53% 42% -15.1%
≤30d 1070 +2.8% -7.0% 56% 43% -13.8%
≤90d 1196 +0.7% -8.9% 55% 44% -14.3%
all 1196 +0.7% -8.9% 55% 44% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 44% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 23% -22.5%
15% -25.6% 14% -30.0%
20% -32.9% 9% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.12 · official $0.00 (match) · 2713 history records