Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:15:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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0xadc9…f603
crypto · 337 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$496 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$229 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$229
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses87 / 250
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)337 / 337
History coverage12d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day53.6
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 337 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$107
7 days+$111
14 days+$229
30 days+$229
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$14 +660%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$19 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$19 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +134%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$11 +126%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$20 +194%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +88%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$30 +145%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$41 +158%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$20 +174%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$1 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$14 +114%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$10 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$39 +267%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$32 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$21 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$23 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$9 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$232
politics 0% −$1
weather 0% −$1
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $38 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $9 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $13 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $12 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $7 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $19 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $9 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $31 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-23.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 171 -9.0% -17.6% 28% 28% -3.1%
≤30d 337 -15.6% -23.6% 26% 26% -4.5%
≤90d 337 -15.6% -23.6% 26% 26% -4.5%
all 337 -15.6% -23.6% 26% 26% -4.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.6% 26% -4.5%
10% ← realistic here -30.9% 26% -13.7%
15% -37.6% 25% -22.0%
20% -43.7% 24% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 727 history records