Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:45:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AD
0xadcb…c2be
sports · 101 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$525 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$524 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized−$524
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses36 / 63
Est. fees paid−$37
Open positions2
Markets (closed)99 / 101
History coverage8d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day12.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 99 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$274
14 days−$524
30 days−$524
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Under 31¢ 32¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 39¢ 38¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 3.5 Over 18¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Spread: Croatia (-2.5) Bulgaria 72¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Spread: Raja Club Athletic (-1.5) Raja Club Athletic 24¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will AS FAR vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida end in a draw? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Spread: Slovenia (-2.5) Slovenia 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Sandvikens IF vs. Falkenbergs FF: O/U 3.5 Under 67¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Angola vs. Mauritania: O/U 2.5 Over 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Spread: Philippines (-2.5) Myanmar 76¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: Both Teams to Score No 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Singapore vs. China PR: Both Teams to Score No 47¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Under 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 Under 22¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Kamatamare Sanuki vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: O/U 1.5 Over 66¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: Both Teams to Score Yes 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Under 63¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: Both Teams to Score Yes 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: Both Teams to Score Yes 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Northern Ireland vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 Over 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Benin vs. Niger: O/U 1.5 Under 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Spread: RS Berkane (-1.5) RS Berkane 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Russia vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $20 −$20 -98%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $20 −$20 -98%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $20 −$20 -98%
France vs. Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $20 +$35 +172%
Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $20 +$8 +40%
France vs. Ireland: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $20 +$6 +27%
Iceland vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $20 +$36 +178%
Kawkab AC vs. Raja Club Athletic: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $20 +$9 +43%
Spread: Azerbaijan (-2.5) Jun 09 $20 +$13 +65%
North Macedonia vs. Azerbaijan: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $20 +$21 +101%
Latvia vs. Slovakia: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $20 +$5 +26%
Estonia vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $41 −$12 -30%
Wales vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $20 +$66 +325%
Belarus vs. Armenia: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $20 +$16 +79%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 09 $20 +$9 +43%
Northern Ireland vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $20 +$4 +18%
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $20 +$28 +140%
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -100%
Northern Ireland vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Croatia vs. Bulgaria: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Croatia vs. Bulgaria: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Sandvikens IF vs. Falkenbergs FF: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Spread: Philippines (-2.5) Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Croatia vs. Bulgaria: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Israel vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Albania vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Spread: Raja Club Athletic (-1.5) Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Spread: Denmark (-2.5) Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Peru vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $20 +$31 +152%
RCA Zemamra vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Norway vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $41 −$40 -98%
Kawkab AC vs. Raja Club Athletic: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Spread: Croatia (-2.5) Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Liverpool Montevideo vs. Cerro Largo FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $20 +$42 +206%
Deportes Temuco vs. Curico Unido: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $41 +$108 +265%
Spread: Union Espanola (-1.5) Jun 09 $20 +$8 +42%
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $20 +$2 +11%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $20 +$12 +60%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $20 +$5 +24%
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) Jun 08 $20 +$10 +50%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 08 $20 −$20 -98%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $20 −$20 -99%
FathUnionSport vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $20 −$20 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$525
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $20 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 31¢ $20 8h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $20 22h
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 26¢ $20 42h
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 21¢ $20 2d
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 44¢ $20 2d
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 84¢ $20 2d
Belarus vs. Armenia: Both Teams to Score BUY No 55¢ $20 3d
Northern Ireland vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $20 3d
Croatia vs. Bulgaria: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 21¢ $20 3d
Croatia vs. Bulgaria: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 66¢ $20 3d
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 36¢ $20 3d
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 63¢ $20 3d
Sandvikens IF vs. Falkenbergs FF: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 67¢ $20 3d
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $20 3d
Spread: Philippines (-2.5) BUY Myanmar 76¢ $20 3d
North Macedonia vs. Azerbaijan: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 49¢ $20 3d
Croatia vs. Bulgaria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 40¢ $20 3d
Israel vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 44¢ $20 3d
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Northern Ireland 69¢ $20 3d
Estonia vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 71¢ $20 3d
Albania vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 27¢ $20 3d
Latvia vs. Slovakia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 79¢ $20 3d
France vs. Ireland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 78¢ $20 3d
France vs. Ireland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 36¢ $20 3d
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 21¢ $20 3d
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 44¢ $20 3d
Spread: Raja Club Athletic (-1.5) BUY Raja Club Athletic 24¢ $20 3d
Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $20 3d
Spread: Denmark (-2.5) BUY Serbia 71¢ $20 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-32.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -20.0% -27.6% 41% 41% -24.6%
≤30d 99 -25.9% -32.9% 36% 36% -31.4%
≤90d 99 -25.9% -32.9% 36% 36% -31.4%
all 99 -25.9% -32.9% 36% 36% -31.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.9% 36% -31.4%
10% -39.4% 33% -37.9%
15% -45.2% 27% -43.9%
20% -50.6% 20% -49.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.55 · official $39.55 (match) · 139 history records