Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:05:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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0xadd3…0447
crypto · 124 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$294 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$356 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$69
Realized+$356
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses53 / 68
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)121 / 124
History coverage1d
Avg bet$530
Trades / day2456.0
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 121 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$356
7 days+$356
14 days+$356
30 days+$356
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 86¢ 81¢ $40 $38 −$2 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 38¢ 50¢ $21 $28 +$7 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $32 $3 −$29 (-91%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $393 +$19 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1,423 +$26 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $966 +$15 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1,212 −$27 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3,512 −$246 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $828 −$18 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1,379 +$26 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1,661 −$18 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $490 −$56 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $348 −$11 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $377 −$29 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $586 +$35 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $995 +$267 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$16 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $471 −$43 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $295 +$41 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1,255 +$69 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $358 −$12 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $546 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $397 −$12 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,590 −$41 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $326 −$9 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $777 −$29 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $942 +$55 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $533 −$27 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $737 −$10 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $264 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $434 +$13 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $778 −$4 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$12 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1,061 −$16 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $524 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $281 +$17 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $468 +$12 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,264 +$48 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $387 −$13 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $237 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $472 +$23 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $201 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $734 +$31 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $472 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $245 −$9 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1,290 +$51 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $148 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $769 −$69 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $343 −$25 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $186 −$57 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $991 +$38 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$332
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $30 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $52 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $101 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $101 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $36 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $23 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $64 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $14 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $17 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $100 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $12 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $101 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $56 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $39 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $100 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $12 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $101 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $100 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $50 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $42 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $68 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $53 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $37 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $31 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 -1.2% -10.6% 44% 9% -9.0%
≤30d 121 -1.2% -10.6% 44% 9% -9.0%
≤90d 121 -1.2% -10.6% 44% 9% -9.0%
all 121 -1.2% -10.6% 44% 9% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2456.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 9% -9.0%
10% -19.2% 5% -17.7%
15% ← realistic here -27.0% 2% -25.7%
20% -34.2% 2% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $69.13 · official $98.99 · 3500 history records