trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 17% | 17% | +2.7% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 17% | 17% | +2.7% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 17% | 17% | +2.7% |
| all | 26 | -14.6% | -22.8% | 38% | 38% | -20.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -22.8% | 38% | -20.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -30.2% | 27% | -28.2% |
| 15% | -36.9% | 15% | -35.2% |
| 20% | -43.1% | 12% | -41.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $5,482 | $8 | −$5,474 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $11,948 | +$1,638 | +14% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Jun 23 | $26 | −$3 | -12% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $26 | −$2 | -9% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $26 | −$1 | -6% |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | Jun 23 | $25 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee | Jun 23 | $26 | −$2 | -9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Mar 27 | $330 | −$330 | -100% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers | Feb 01 | $6,383 | −$6,383 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01? | Feb 01 | $3,100 | −$3,100 | -100% |
| UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) | Feb 01 | $1,000 | +$282 | +28% |
| UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) | Feb 01 | $4,965 | −$4,965 | -100% |
| UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | Feb 01 | $4,500 | −$4,500 | -100% |
| UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Feb 01 | $3,000 | +$1,014 | +34% |
| UFC 325: Mullarkey vs. Salkilld (Lightweight, Prelims) | Feb 01 | $1,000 | +$122 | +12% |
| UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) | Feb 01 | $6,857 | +$2,791 | +41% |
| UFC 325: Brundage vs. Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims) | Feb 01 | $2,189 | +$693 | +32% |
| UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims) | Feb 01 | $1,000 | +$753 | +75% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 01 | $50,409 | −$1,858 | -4% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 28 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 28 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-5.5) | Jan 28 | $1,370 | −$26 | -2% |
| Will New England beat Seattle in Super Bowl LX? | Jan 28 | $2,542 | +$2,064 | +81% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Jan 26 | $100 | +$79 | +79% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 25 | $2,642 | −$282 | -11% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Jan 25 | $100 | +$16 | +16% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Jan 25 | $100 | −$35 | -35% |