Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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0xade6…a890
crypto · 869 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$299 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$299 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$299
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses385 / 483
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)868 / 869
Avg bet$11
Trades / day13.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 868 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$73
7 days−$128
14 days−$98
30 days−$127
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -74%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -62%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -53%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 11 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 $0 -4%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +93%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 11 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$220
sports 11% −$41
other 4% −$2
world 1% −$7
politics 1% −$1
finance 0% −$5
culture 0% −$15
weather 0% −$6
tech 0% −$2
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 6h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 93¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 20h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 36¢ $3 21h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 69¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $0 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $1 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 228 -14.6% -22.8% 42% 38% -16.9%
≤30d 683 -6.5% -15.4% 45% 41% -11.1%
≤90d 845 -7.4% -16.2% 44% 40% -12.2%
all 868 -7.1% -16.0% 44% 39% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.0% 39% -12.4%
10% -24.0% 37% -20.8%
15% -31.3% 33% -28.5%
20% -38.1% 29% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2228 history records