trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? | Yes | 24¢ | 44¢ | $5 | $9 | +$4 (+83%) |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 28¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime? | No | 49¢ | 48¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Sweden leading at halftime? | Yes | 37¢ | 36¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime? | Yes | 18¢ | 16¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Will Australia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? | Yes | 57¢ | 14¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-76%) |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 38¢ | 38¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| World Cup: Winless Team? | No | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-45%) |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$8 | +276% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$15 | +712% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$3 | +105% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $3 | +$8 | +250% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +172% |
| Will Saudi Arabia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$2 | -31% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +60.3% | +45.0% | 38% | 38% | +17.5% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +60.3% | +45.0% | 38% | 38% | +17.5% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +60.3% | +45.0% | 38% | 38% | +17.5% |
| all | 13 | +60.3% | +45.0% | 38% | 38% | +17.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +45.0% | 38% | +17.5% |
| 10% | +31.1% | 38% | +6.3% |
| 15% | +18.5% | 38% | -4.0% |
| 20% | +6.8% | 38% | -13.4% |