trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 11 | -12.8% | -21.1% | 36% | 36% | -21.8% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -12.8% | -21.1% | 36% | 36% | -21.8% |
| all | 14 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 36% | 36% | -33.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.9% | 36% | -33.1% |
| 10% | -33.0% | 29% | -39.5% |
| 15% | -39.4% | 29% | -45.3% |
| 20% | -45.4% | 14% | -50.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $50 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$25 | +50% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $50 | +$23 | +46% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $101 | −$3 | -3% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $101 | −$94 | -93% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $31 | +$84 | +272% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $61 | +$57 | +94% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5? | Mar 05 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Mar 03 | $800 | +$90 | +11% |
| Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Mar 03 | $100 | −$24 | -24% |