Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:01:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AE
0xae30…a43b
crypto · 988 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$453 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$453 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$453
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses675 / 313
Open positions0
Markets (closed)988 / 988
History coverage91d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day23.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 988 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$48
14 days−$48
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$7 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Mar 27 $19 −$8 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Mar 27 $46 +$10 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Mar 27 $40 −$14 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Mar 27 $18 −$6 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Mar 27 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Mar 27 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Mar 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Mar 27 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Mar 27 $65 −$21 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Mar 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Mar 27 $74 −$22 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Mar 27 $20 +$9 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Mar 27 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Mar 27 $18 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Mar 27 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Mar 27 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Mar 27 $72 +$47 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Mar 27 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Mar 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Mar 27 $49 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Mar 27 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Mar 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Mar 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Mar 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Mar 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Mar 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Mar 27 $50 −$4 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Mar 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Mar 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$453
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -31.5% -38.0% 38% 33% -57.5%
≤30d 21 -31.5% -38.0% 38% 33% -57.5%
≤90d 949 -3.2% -12.4% 67% 14% -12.1%
all 988 -2.8% -12.1% 68% 15% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 15% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 5% -20.5%
15% -28.2% 4% -28.2%
20% -35.2% 3% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2311 history records