Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:17:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
AE 0xae37…90f2 crypto 1156 markets active 5d ago coverage 44d ⚠
BOTnot copyable ⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 44d only
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,030 (-13%) realized −$1,030 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate43%502W / 654L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day58.2pace
Fees−$67est.
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$42
14 days−$121
30 days−$259
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 50% −$299
crypto 31% −$310
weather 15% −$216
other 4% −$67
world 0% $0
finance 0% $0
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 -13.7% -21.9% 42% 42% -20.7%
≤30d 367 -9.3% -18.0% 41% 37% -21.0%
≤90d 1156 -10.3% -18.8% 43% 40% -20.7%
all 1156 -10.3% -18.8% 43% 40% -20.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 40% -20.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 38% -28.3%
15% -33.7% 35% -35.2%
20% -40.2% 25% -41.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$5 · ×0.94 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

44d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,030
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses502 / 654
Est. fees paid−$67
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1156 / 1156
History coverage44d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day58.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1156 Trades
no open positions (74 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$4 +181%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +114%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +110%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +70%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$4 +190%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +90%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +114%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on June 10? Jun 10 $1 +$5 +400%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 6d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records