trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +8.4% | -1.9% | 54% | 38% | -8.8% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 50% | 36% | -20.4% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 50% | 36% | -20.4% |
| all | 14 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 50% | 36% | -20.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.9% | 36% | -20.4% |
| 10% | -17.6% | 36% | -28.0% |
| 15% | -25.6% | 36% | -35.0% |
| 20% | -32.9% | 36% | -41.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $2 | +$1 | +71% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $2 | +$5 | +232% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $2 | +$2 | +110% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $2 | +$2 | +115% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $2 | +$2 | +77% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $9 | −$9 | -99% |