trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -92.8% | -93.5% | 0% | 0% | -93.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -12.3% | -20.7% | 50% | 50% | +6.4% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +5.4% | -4.6% | 73% | 64% | +5.4% |
| all | 22 | +5.4% | -4.6% | 73% | 64% | +5.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.6% | 64% | +5.4% |
| 10% | -13.8% | 41% | -4.7% |
| 15% | -22.1% | 9% | -13.9% |
| 20% | -29.7% | 5% | -22.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 90¢ | 88¢ | $7,132 | $6,923 | −$209 (-3%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | No | 62¢ | 70¢ | $2,193 | $2,494 | +$301 (+14%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 80¢ | 96¢ | $1,556 | $1,859 | +$303 (+20%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 17 | $31 | −$29 | -93% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $12,680 | +$2,974 | +24% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 15 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 12 | $1,024 | −$322 | -31% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 12 | $1,622 | −$95 | -6% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $344 | −$74 | -22% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 01 | $99 | +$28 | +28% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | Jun 01 | $1,005 | +$242 | +24% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 26 | $2,039 | +$709 | +35% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | May 26 | $1,359 | +$239 | +18% |
| Will Solana reach $100 in May? | May 24 | $78 | +$39 | +50% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | May 24 | $101 | +$13 | +13% |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31? | May 24 | $100 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $187.50 Week of May 11 202 | May 16 | $100 | +$21 | +21% |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of May 11 2026? | May 16 | $100 | +$17 | +17% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 12? | May 12 | $1,140 | +$139 | +12% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | May 12 | $1,447 | +$42 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 12 | $2 | +$2 | +117% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | May 11 | $99 | +$31 | +31% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? | May 11 | $985 | +$317 | +32% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | May 11 | $309 | −$281 | -91% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | May 03 | $991 | +$317 | +32% |