Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:28:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AE
0xae55…2067
crypto · 2319 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$13,920 +31%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13,921 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$13,921
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses1136 / 510
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1646 / 2319
History coverage19d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day127.3
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1646 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days+$3,428
14 days+$13,404
30 days+$13,921
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 50¢ 26¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$14,164
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)+25.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 575 +21.7% +10.1% 64% 64% +27.6%
≤30d 1646 +38.8% +25.6% 69% 69% +31.0%
≤90d 1646 +38.8% +25.6% 69% 69% +31.0%
all 1646 +38.8% +25.6% 69% 69% +31.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover127.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +25.6% 69% +31.0%
10% ← realistic here +13.6% 69% +18.5%
15% +2.6% 69% +7.0%
20% -7.5% 68% -3.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.32 · official $2.58 · 3500 history records