trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +7.0% | -3.2% | 50% | 50% | -17.1% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 80% | 20% | -3.2% |
| all | 16 | -8.3% | -17.0% | 81% | 12% | -3.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.0% | 12% | -3.8% |
| 10% | -25.0% | 12% | -13.0% |
| 15% | -32.2% | 12% | -21.4% |
| 20% | -38.9% | 6% | -29.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $302 | −$297 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $223 | +$254 | +114% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 20 | $24 | −$23 | -98% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | May 20 | $466 | +$34 | +7% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 22 | $329 | +$131 | +40% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | Apr 18 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026? | Apr 18 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Apr 18 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)? | Apr 18 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Apr 18 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | Mar 09 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will BNB reach $1200 in January? | Feb 02 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 20 | Feb 02 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 02 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31? | Jan 13 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | Jan 08 | $24 | $0 | +0% |