Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:26:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AE
0xae6e…f07b
crypto · 414 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,736 -48%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,736 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$2,736
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses180 / 489
Open positions0
Markets (closed)669 / 414
History coverage14d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day247.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 669 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,058
7 days−$2,663
14 days−$2,736
30 days−$2,736
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+101%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+111%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+88%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+127%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$14 +3630%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +378%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$376
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-38.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 472 -45.1% -50.3% 20% 19% -45.9%
≤30d 669 -31.5% -38.0% 27% 26% -38.3%
≤90d 669 -31.5% -38.0% 27% 26% -38.3%
all 669 -31.5% -38.0% 27% 26% -38.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover247.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.0% 26% -38.3%
10% ← realistic here -44.0% 26% -44.2%
15% -49.4% 25% -49.6%
20% -54.3% 21% -54.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.51 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records