Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:21:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AE
0xae7c…d1f5
other · 252 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$73 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$84 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$84
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses21 / 231
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)252 / 252
History coverage134d
Avg bet$229
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 252 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$20
14 days−$30
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 14 $401 $0 +0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 14 $274 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 14 $768 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $597 −$1 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $325 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $213 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $378 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $509 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $601 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $551 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $780 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $211 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $668 −$1 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $169 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $141 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $147 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $833 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $250 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 10 $236 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $342 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $69 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $486 −$1 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $182 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 09 $191 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $544 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $384 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $439 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $648 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $376 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 07 $560 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $583 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 06 $331 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $854 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $514 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $233 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $321 −$1 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $147 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $292 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 05 $796 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 04 $291 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 03 $44 $0 +0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $462 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $74 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $782 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $444 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 29 $555 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? May 28 $158 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? May 27 $166 $0 -0%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 27 $244 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 26 $459 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 44% −$38
sports 25% −$21
politics 10% −$6
economics 7% −$6
culture 6% −$6
crypto 4% −$3
world 4% −$5
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $66 1h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $66 2h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $66 7h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $66 9h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $66 10h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $66 11h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $66 13h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $66 15h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $66 19h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $66 21h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $57 21h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $9 22h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $66 23h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $66 31h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $66 33h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $66 34h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $67 35h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $67 37h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $67 39h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $67 46h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $67 2d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $67 2d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $67 2d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $67 2d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $67 2d
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $67 2d
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $67 2d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $67 2d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $67 2d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $67 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 60 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 179 -0.1% -9.7% 7% 0% -9.7%
all 252 -0.1% -9.7% 8% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1366 history records